The USDCAD pair has recently extended its rebound to reach a fresh 1-month high. However, despite the positive momentum indicators, it has failed to close above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA). This article analyzes the current state of the USDCAD pair and explores potential scenarios for its future movement.
Despite its solid recovery from the December low of 1.3176, the USDCAD pair has been unable to break through the resistance posed by the 50-day SMA. The 200-day SMA, on the other hand, has been acting as a strong floor, causing the price to hover between these two converging SMAs. This battle between the moving averages has created a key area of interest for traders.
One promising sign for the USDCAD pair is the fact that the MACD has climbed to its positive zone for the first time since late November. This suggests that the pair could potentially overcome the resistance of the 50-day SMA and revisit its one-month peak of 1.3540. If this hurdle is successfully conquered, further bullish movements towards 1.3618 and the April-May resistance of 1.3653 could be expected.
On the other hand, if the price of the USDCAD pair slides below its 200-day SMA, it could face its first barricade at the September bottom of 1.3377. A violation of this territory may then open the door for a decline towards the April bottom of 1.3300. Failing to hold at that level, the pair could extend its retreat towards the December low of 1.3176.
It is worth noting that the wide Bollinger bands suggest heightened volatility in the future. The USDCAD pair has been trading within the range defined by the converging 50- and 200-day SMAs, but a decisive break above or below this range could potentially lead to a significant move in the same direction. Traders should keep a close eye on this pair to identify potential breakout opportunities.
The USDCAD pair has experienced a rebound to reach a 1-month high, but it faces resistance at the 50-day SMA. Positive momentum indicators, such as the MACD, suggest the possibility of overcoming this obstacle and reaching higher levels. However, downside risks should not be ignored, as a breach of the 200-day SMA could lead to a decline towards the December low. Traders should closely monitor the pair’s movements and volatility levels for potential trading opportunities.
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