The AUD/USD pair has shown significant upward movement, surpassing the 0.6700 resistance zone. This surge in price can be attributed to the bullish trend line that is forming with support near 0.6745 on the 4-hour chart. The presence of this trend line indicates a positive trend in the market, providing investors with a sense of confidence in the Australian Dollar’s performance.
Unlike the AUD/USD pair, both the EUR/USD and GBP/USD pairs are currently consolidating above key support zones. The EUR/USD pair, for instance, has struggled to clear the 1.1000 resistance level but is still maintaining gains above 1.0860. This consolidation suggests that traders are cautious about the future movement of these currency pairs and are waiting for clear indications before making any significant moves.
One of the factors that could greatly influence the AUD/USD pair’s performance is the release of the US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data for Q3 2023. It is anticipated that the US GDP will grow by 5.2% during this period. Such a positive growth rate could potentially have implications for the strength of the US Dollar and therefore impact the AUD/USD pair’s overall trend.
Analyzing the technical indicators, we can see that the AUD/USD pair has gained momentum and is currently trading above the 100 simple moving average (red, 4 hours) as well as the 200 simple moving average (green, 4 hours). However, there was a minor bearish reaction near the 0.6775 level, suggesting a temporary pause in the upward movement. If the pair continues to consolidate, the next major support level to watch out for is at 0.6690. A break below this level could lead to a decline towards the 100 simple moving average (red, 4 hours) at 0.6630.
On the upside, the immediate resistance for the AUD/USD pair is near the 0.6775 level. If the pair manages to break above this level, the next significant resistance is at 0.6800. A close above the 0.6800 zone would open doors for further upside potential, with the next stop for the bulls possibly at 0.6880.
Apart from the US GDP data, another economic release to watch out for is the US Initial Jobless Claims. It is forecasted to be around 215K, slightly higher than the previous figure of 202K. This data, along with the GDP data, could provide further insights into the strength of the US economy and potentially impact the movements of major currency pairs, including the AUD/USD.
The AUD/USD pair has shown significant traction above key resistance levels, indicating a positive trend for the Australian Dollar. However, cautious trading is advised, as consolidation and upcoming economic releases could influence the overall direction of major currency pairs. Traders should closely monitor technical indicators and support/resistance levels to make informed trading decisions.
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